UConn vs. Air ForceFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalFalcon Stadium
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONN | 0 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 26 |
| AF | 14 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 |
How the picks did
Models went 0-3 on this game · −100% return
- UConn Huskies to win−100%Lost
Taken at 51¢ on Polymarket US
3 modelsHeater Two-Hour, D1 Winner +1Why 3 models like it
Heater Two-Hour- No independent game model is used; a coin-flip matchup leaves substantial ordinary football variance.
D1 Winner- UConn season defense allowed 0.062 EPA/play versus Air Force 0.120; the clearest efficiency separation.
- Away-split UConn offense posted 0.268 EPA/play and 0.148 explosive rate; Air Force home offense: 0.236 and 0.101.
- Falcon Stadium altitude and home field can erase UConn's efficiency advantage.
CFB HunterV2- 56.5% model win probability versus DraftKings +102 breakeven 49.5%; 7.0-point edge.
- Air Force announced Evan Medders out with turf toe; UConn’s official game notes name Kalieb Osborne the starter.
- Air Force has not confirmed whether Josh Johnson or Howard Fisher IV replaces Medders; quarterback uncertainty is material.
Win chance, start to finish
50%AFCONNKickoff
Oct 31Final
Questions
Who won UConn vs. Air Force?
The Air Force won 35–26 on Saturday, Oct 31, 2026.