Montana vs. Eastern WashingtonFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalRoos Field
Montana5–3
42–33Final
Eastern Washington2–6
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MONT | 7 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 42 |
| EAST | 3 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 33 |
Top model pick, graded
WonMontana Grizzlies to win 79¢
Why CFB Heater likes it: Montana is 5-3 with +0.270 recent offensive EPA/play and an 86.0 team grade; EWU is 2-6, +0.0395 and 79.2.
CFB HeaterUp 8% return this season · 367 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 7-1 on this game · +55% return
- Game total over 63.5+91%Won
Taken at −110 on DraftKings
4 modelsTempo Gap, D1 Winner +2Why 4 models like it
Tempo Gap- Eight-game pace sample: EWU averages 81.5 snaps and 13.2 drives; Montana 69.3 snaps and 12.2 drives.
- Opponent-adjusted efficiency favors scoring: Montana posts +0.270 EPA/play and 3.19 points/drive against EWU's +0.240 defensive EPA allowed.
- Most likely loss: Montana leads, slows its 35-second snap tempo, and EWU cannot sustain drives against a defense allowing 28.0 points/game.
D1 Winner- Montana averages 37.8 points; Eastern Washington allows 38.1 through eight games.
- Away/home splits support scoring: Montana averages 41.0 road points; EWU allows 33.25 at home.
- Montana's official preview cites five linemen and nine of 11 defensive starters injured during the season; current availability is unclear.
Key Number CFB- Recent scoring/allowing blend projects 65.4 points: Montana expectation 37.9, Eastern Washington 27.5.
- Montana leads 2026 offense EPA/play 0.270 to 0.074; Eastern Washington allows 0.240 defensive EPA/play versus Montana's 0.120.
- Most likely loss: the game finishes 63 or fewer; the 1.9-point projection cushion is modest.
ProphetX Pairs- 2026 game-total averages are 65.1 for Eastern Washington and 65.8 for Montana across eight games.
- Montana posts +0.270 offensive EPA/play; Eastern Washington allows +0.240 defensive EPA/play, supporting Montana scoring.
- Both teams are only 4-8 over 63.5, so the sample is noisy and variance is meaningful.
- Montana Grizzlies to win+27%Won
Taken at 79¢ on Polymarket US
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Montana is 5-3 with +0.270 recent offensive EPA/play and an 86.0 team grade; EWU is 2-6, +0.0395 and 79.2.
- 79c leaves a narrow margin, and Polymarket US fees reduce the effective edge.
- Eastern Washington +14.5+64%Won
Taken at 61¢ on Polymarket US
BETALAB 6.0Down 4% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Montana averages 37.75 points and EWU allows 38.125; matchup margin is only about 10.4 before home-field adjustment.
- Montana has +0.270 offensive EPA/play; EWU allows +0.240 defensive EPA/play, supporting Montana scoring but not a runaway margin.
- Montana's defensive availability is uncertain; expected-margin estimate is about 7 points, making +14.5 a meaningful protection line.
- Montana's official defensive availability is unresolved; the credible report says nine of 11 starters have been injured during the season.
- Total points over 63.5+89%Won
Taken at 53¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Montana's matchup-adjusted read points to roughly 68, 70 total points; the defensive leakage is underpriced.
- Montana averages 0.295 offensive EPA/play and 41.0 road points; Eastern Washington allows 33.25 home points.
- Only 3 Montana road games and 4 Eastern Washington home games support the split estimates.
- Montana Grizzlies spread −11.5−100%Lost
Taken at 53¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Montana averages +0.270 offensive EPA/play and +9.75 margin; Eastern Washington is +0.074 and -11.13.
- The matchup profile projects roughly a 14-point Montana margin, above ProphetX's 11.5 main number.
- Most likely loss: Montana leads but Eastern Washington scores late for a backdoor cover inside 11.5.
Win chance, start to finish
50%EASTMONTKickoff
Oct 31Final
Questions
Who won Montana vs. Eastern Washington?
The Montana won 42–33 on Saturday, Oct 31, 2026.