Eastern Illinois vs. UT MartinFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalHardy M. Graham Stadium
Eastern Illinois2–6
45–16Final
UT Martin3–5
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EAST | 14 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 45 |
| UT | 0 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total over 48.5 47¢
Resting MoneyDown 3% this season · 1227 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-2 on this game · +1% return
- Game total over 48.5+113%Won
Taken at 47¢ on ProphetX
Resting MoneyDown 24% last 7 days - Eastern Illinois Panthers +5.5+93%Won
Taken at −108 on DraftKings
Picks With Pink Grading SystemUp 11% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Season scoring cross-match projects UT Martin 27.6, Eastern Illinois 24.9: a 2.75-point margin.
- The projected 2.75-point margin is 2.75 points inside the 5.5-point handicap.
- Last-five scoring margins differ by only 4.2 points: Eastern Illinois -14.8, UT Martin -10.6.
- Only 16 current-season team margins inform the pooled 25.6-point standard deviation; probability is uncalibrated and assumption-sensitive.
- Total points under 48.5−100%Lost
Taken at 53¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- last-five scoring averages are UT Martin 23.2 and Eastern Illinois 12.8, a 36.0-point combined baseline versus 48.5.
- Both offenses are below-average by recent efficiency: UT Martin -0.048 offensive EPA/play and Eastern Illinois -0.138.
- Eastern Illinois' recent success rate is 38.4%; UT Martin's is 41.3%, limiting sustained drives.
- UT Martin's recent defense allowed 33.8 points per game, creating shootout and short-field risk.
- UT Martin Skyhawks spread −3.5−100%Lost
Taken at 53¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- TIMING edge; SHARP REFERENCE: Pinnacle moved to UT Martin -4 (-118), while DraftKings and FanDuel moved to -4.5; ProphetX still offers -3.5.
- Projection: Eastern Illinois averaged 14.7 points across its last three games, with negative offensive EPA/play in all three.
- Estimated cover probability is 57%; the stale half-to-one-point cushion is the structural reason this price is wrong.
- UT Martin lost 24-55 last week, showing substantial defensive volatility.
Win chance, start to finish
50%UTEASTKickoff
Oct 31Final
Questions
Who won Eastern Illinois vs. UT Martin?
The Eastern Illinois won 45–16 on Saturday, Oct 31, 2026.