Richmond vs. Holy CrossFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalFitton Field
Richmond6-2
14–33Final
Holy Cross3-5
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RICH | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| HOLY | 7 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 33 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total over 41.5 −114
Why Picks With Pink Grading System likes it: Research grade 73/100 (B): clears the 70 fire line; matchup projection and price are the primary supports.
Picks With Pink Grading SystemDown 5% this season · 474 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-4 on this game · −62% return
- Richmond Spiders to win−100%Lost
Taken at −140 on Fliff
3 modelsNFL Sharp Edge, BETALAB 6.0 +1Why 3 models like it
NFL Sharp Edge- Richmond's recent defensive EPA allowed is 0.01 versus Holy Cross at 0.12; lower is better.
- PFF grades favor Richmond overall, 76.2 to 73.4, with a major pass-rush edge, 84.6 to 69.5.
- Holy Cross is at home, and Richmond's recent offensive EPA is slightly worse, -0.05 versus -0.02.
BETALAB 6.0- Richmond is 6-2 versus Holy Cross 3-5, with the better season point margin (-3.5 versus -6.9).
- Richmond's season defensive EPA allowed is 0.01 per play versus Holy Cross at 0.12; lower is better.
- Holy Cross is at home and has the better recent eight-game offense EPA (-0.02 versus Richmond -0.05).
Key Number CFB- Richmond's eight-game defense allowed 0.01 EPA/play versus Holy Cross at +0.12; lower is better.
- Richmond is 6-2 with a +3.4 recent scoring margin; Holy Cross is 3-5 at -6.9.
- Most likely loss: Holy Cross wins outright; the moneyline has no spread cushion for a narrow Richmond defeat.
- Game total over 41.5+88%Won
Taken at −114 on FanDuel
Picks With Pink Grading SystemUp 11% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Research grade 73/100 (B): clears the 70 fire line; matchup projection and price are the primary supports.
- Season scoring/allowance blend projects 47.94 points, 6.44 above the exact 41.5 offer; relative projection edge is 15.5%.
- Descriptive exact-line sample: over in 11 of 16 team-games combined, 68.8%, with 0 pushes; this is context, not calibration.
- The combined L5 exact-line sample is only 5-5, so recent form does not independently confirm the over.
- Richmond Spiders spread −2.5−100%Lost
Taken at 50¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- PROJECTION edge; SRS rates Richmond -35.1 versus Holy Cross -41.9, a 6.8-point team gap before venue adjustment.
- Richmond is 4-1 in its last five with a +3.4 margin; Holy Cross is 3-2 with a +6.6 margin but has been much more volatile.
- Richmond’s recent offense has been steadier overall, while Holy Cross posted offensive EPA/play below zero in 5 of 8 games.
- The most likely loss is a close Holy Cross home win or a one-point Richmond win, both failing -2.5.
Win chance, start to finish
50%HOLYRICHKickoff
Oct 31Final
Questions
Who won Richmond vs. Holy Cross?
Holy Cross won 33-14 on Saturday, Oct 31, 2026.